The following equation results
from the basic model 6.3:
| 7.3.1 Equation |
Nue = Nze ·
Fu
Nue = A
· Fsph ·
Fgae ·
FLiz · Fu |
Equation 7.3.1 contains all
planetary, biological and civilizing factors that can
influence the development of a civilization, by an
intelligent species, on an "Earth 2", in a
solar-like star system, in our galaxy.
It can be assumed that ancient civilizations emerge from
the multitude of space traveling civilizations. Therefore
Fz =
225:7,301 and FLiz
= 1:4089.
Inserting all values (Fe = 0.1) into equation
7.3.1:
Nue1 = (100-300)·109 · 1:15,000
· 1:69 · 1:4089 · 1:6
Nue1
= 4 – 12 „Earth 2“ with old civilizations
Inserting all values (Fe = 0.01) into equation
7.3.1:
Nue2 = (100-300)·109 · 1:15,000
· 1:691 · 1:4089 · 1:6
Nue2
= 1 – 2 „Earth 2“ with old civilizations
The two results can then be summarized to the following
statement:
| 7.3.2 Theorem |
There
could be between 1 to 12 old technological
civilizations, on an "Earth 2", in a
solar-like star system, in our galaxy. |
The probability of a habitable
"Earth 2" with an old technological
civilization in solar-like star systems, in our galaxy,
is then:
| 7.3.3 Definition |
Fue = Fsph
· Fgae ·
FLiz · Fu |
Fue = Fsph·Fgae·FLiz· Fu
Fue = 1:15,000 · (1:69-1:691) · 1:4089 · 1:6
Fue = 1:25,392,690,000 – 1:254,294,910,000
Only every 25.392 - 254.294 billionth
star system has an "Earth 2" with an old
technological civilization.
|
